SEALEDVALUE
All sets Research FAQ

Surging Sparks Sealed Product Price Forecast

Current value, projected return, and one clear action for every sealed product tracked on this page.

Model snapshot Oct 12, 2026 Marketplace sales data
REVIEW
Surging Sparks sealed Pokémon product
Identification image. Pokémon and related product names are trademarks of their respective owners.
Current set snapshot

Surging Sparks sealed product prices

This page tracks Pokémon Center ETB, Standard ETB, Booster Bundle, Booster Box using separate historical sold-price models. Current modeled values: Pokémon Center ETB: $260.08; Standard ETB: $113.65; Booster Bundle: $63.7; Booster Box: $293.7.

Pokémon Center exclusive

Pokémon Center ETB forecast

REVIEW
Current value $260.08 Completed sales through October 12, 2026
Expected in 6 months $399.17 +$139.09 · +53.5% ROI
Gross target in 12 months $553.31 +80.8% net ROI after 15% selling costs
Price history and 17-month historical outlook · log price scale PAST NOW 17M $1,249.33 $84.5
THE HISTORICAL REFERENCE · 12 MONTHS AHEAD

What supports this estimate?

5 previous sets · Pokémon Center ETB · ages 23.1–35.1 months.

5 of 5 sets rose over this interval. These are the complete historical paths used by this forecast.

Recorded 12-month returns from the same lifecycle age
Historical set At 23.1 months At 35.1 months Gross return Share of average
Brilliant Stars ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Feb 25, 2022.

Start: Jan 29, 2024: $52.09. recorded week.

End: Jan 27, 2025: $85.41 · Feb 3, 2025: $93.20. between weekly observations.

$52.09Jan 29, 2024 $86.75Jan 28, 2025 +66.5% 20.0%
Crown Zenith ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Jan 20, 2023.

Start: Dec 23, 2024: $147.13. recorded week.

End: Dec 22, 2025: $410.30 · Dec 29, 2025: $400.20. between weekly observations.

$147.13Dec 23, 2024 $408.48Dec 23, 2025 +177.6% 20.0%
Fusion Strike ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 12, 2021.

Start: Oct 16, 2023: $64.94. recorded week.

End: Oct 14, 2024: $72.53 · Oct 21, 2024: $73.12. between weekly observations.

$64.94Oct 16, 2023 $72.64Oct 15, 2024 +11.8% 20.0%
Lost Origin ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Sep 9, 2022.

Start: Aug 12, 2024: $64.36. recorded week.

End: Aug 11, 2025: $216.69 · Aug 18, 2025: $219.40. between weekly observations.

$64.36Aug 12, 2024 $217.17Aug 12, 2025 +237.4% 20.0%
Paldea Evolved ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Jun 9, 2023.

Start: May 12, 2025: $329.17. recorded week.

End: May 4, 2026: $554.81 · May 25, 2026: $569.38. between weekly observations.

$329.17May 12, 2025 $560.49May 12, 2026 +70.3% 20.0%
Average historical return+112.7%Equal influence per physical set
Projected price · simple average$553.31Today’s price × average return factor

$260.08 × 2.1275 = $553.31. After 15% selling costs: +80.8% net ROI.

We average each set’s percentage change over this interval, then apply that average to today’s price. Each physical set has equal influence; variants are averaged within their set first. Unusually large gains or losses can move this simple average substantially.

Source: TCGplayer weekly market-price history. Ages use catalog release dates, which may be set launch dates. Between-week prices are log-interpolated; open “Recorded weeks” to inspect the observations. Prices are rounded for display. Comparison periods may overlap and share market conditions. Historical returns do not guarantee this product’s outcome.

Historical comparisons for other supported horizons
THE HISTORICAL REFERENCE · 6 MONTHS AHEAD

What supports this estimate?

5 previous sets · Pokémon Center ETB · ages 23.1–29.1 months.

4 of 5 sets rose over this interval; 1 fell. These are the complete historical paths used by this forecast.

Recorded 6-month returns from the same lifecycle age
Historical set At 23.1 months At 29.1 months Gross return Share of average
Brilliant Stars ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Feb 25, 2022.

Start: Jan 29, 2024: $52.09. recorded week.

End: Jul 22, 2024: $52.60 · Aug 5, 2024: $52.11. between weekly observations.

$52.09Jan 29, 2024 $52.33Jul 29, 2024 +0.5% 20.0%
Crown Zenith ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Jan 20, 2023.

Start: Dec 23, 2024: $147.13. recorded week.

End: Jun 23, 2025: $286.48 · Jun 30, 2025: $284.14. between weekly observations.

$147.13Dec 23, 2024 $286.27Jun 23, 2025 +94.6% 20.0%
Fusion Strike ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 12, 2021.

Start: Oct 16, 2023: $64.94. recorded week.

End: Apr 15, 2024: $60.25 · Apr 29, 2024: $60.43. between weekly observations.

$64.94Oct 16, 2023 $60.26Apr 15, 2024 -7.2% 20.0%
Lost Origin ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Sep 9, 2022.

Start: Aug 12, 2024: $64.36. recorded week.

End: Feb 10, 2025: $126.83 · Feb 17, 2025: $130.18. between weekly observations.

$64.36Aug 12, 2024 $127.13Feb 10, 2025 +97.5% 20.0%
Paldea Evolved ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Jun 9, 2023.

Start: May 12, 2025: $329.17. recorded week.

End: Nov 3, 2025: $595.19 · Nov 17, 2025: $602.72. between weekly observations.

$329.17May 12, 2025 $599.28Nov 10, 2025 +82.1% 20.0%
Average historical return+53.5%Equal influence per physical set
Projected price · simple average$399.17Today’s price × average return factor

$260.08 × 1.5348 = $399.17. After 15% selling costs: +30.5% net ROI.

We average each set’s percentage change over this interval, then apply that average to today’s price. Each physical set has equal influence; variants are averaged within their set first. Unusually large gains or losses can move this simple average substantially.

Source: TCGplayer weekly market-price history. Ages use catalog release dates, which may be set launch dates. Between-week prices are log-interpolated; open “Recorded weeks” to inspect the observations. Prices are rounded for display. Comparison periods may overlap and share market conditions. Historical returns do not guarantee this product’s outcome.

THE HISTORICAL REFERENCE · 17 MONTHS AHEAD

What supports this estimate?

5 previous sets · Pokémon Center ETB · ages 23.1–40.1 months.

5 of 5 sets rose over this interval. These are the complete historical paths used by this forecast.

Recorded 17-month returns from the same lifecycle age
Historical set At 23.1 months At 40.1 months Gross return Share of average
Brilliant Stars ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Feb 25, 2022.

Start: Jan 29, 2024: $52.09. recorded week.

End: Jun 23, 2025: $149.38 · Jun 30, 2025: $151.22. between weekly observations.

$52.09Jan 29, 2024 $151.07Jun 29, 2025 +190.0% 20.0%
Crown Zenith ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Jan 20, 2023.

Start: Dec 23, 2024: $147.13. recorded week.

End: May 11, 2026: $574.95 · May 25, 2026: $580.56. between weekly observations.

$147.13Dec 23, 2024 $580.33May 24, 2026 +294.4% 20.0%
Fusion Strike ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 12, 2021.

Start: Oct 16, 2023: $64.94. recorded week.

End: Mar 10, 2025: $207.63 · Mar 17, 2025: $205.47. between weekly observations.

$64.94Oct 16, 2023 $205.64Mar 16, 2025 +216.7% 20.0%
Lost Origin ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Sep 9, 2022.

Start: Aug 12, 2024: $64.36. recorded week.

End: Jan 5, 2026: $257.44 · Jan 12, 2026: $252.68. between weekly observations.

$64.36Aug 12, 2024 $253.06Jan 11, 2026 +293.2% 20.0%
Paldea Evolved ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Jun 9, 2023.

Start: May 12, 2025: $329.17. recorded week.

End: Oct 5, 2026: $610.34 · Oct 12, 2026: $606.55. between weekly observations.

$329.17May 12, 2025 $606.85Oct 11, 2026 +84.4% 20.0%
Average historical return+215.7%Equal influence per physical set
Projected price · simple average$821.16Today’s price × average return factor

$260.08 × 3.1573 = $821.16. After 15% selling costs: +168.4% net ROI.

We average each set’s percentage change over this interval, then apply that average to today’s price. Each physical set has equal influence; variants are averaged within their set first. Unusually large gains or losses can move this simple average substantially.

Source: TCGplayer weekly market-price history. Ages use catalog release dates, which may be set launch dates. Between-week prices are log-interpolated; open “Recorded weeks” to inspect the observations. Prices are rounded for display. Comparison periods may overlap and share market conditions. Historical returns do not guarantee this product’s outcome.

Historical support ends 17 months ahead. No extrapolation.

24-month estimate unavailable: insufficient complete historical paths.

36-month estimate unavailable: insufficient complete historical paths.

Only Pokémon Center ETB histories contribute; collections match their specific format. At least five distinct physical sets must have recorded the entire forecast interval from the same lifecycle age. Up to 20 recent eligible sets contribute, with variants sharing a set’s influence. The longest supported cohort stays fixed across the chart. The center is the simple arithmetic average of recorded cumulative percentage returns. Each physical set has equal influence; variants are averaged within their set first. Every displayed return stays within the observed peer minimum and maximum at that horizon. No mature trend, borrowed age, or short-run annualization extends the curve. Historical support ends 17 months ahead; later targets are unavailable. Equal-set 10–90% historical ranges include the average and are not calibrated probability intervals.

Initial observed value$112.34
Lower 12M case$347.8
Model confidenceLow · 35/100
Print cycle · est.Ended ~18 mo. ago
Standard retail

Standard ETB forecast

REVIEW
Current value $113.65 Completed sales through October 12, 2026
Expected in 6 months $167.82 +$54.17 · +47.7% ROI
Gross target in 12 months $252.53 +88.9% net ROI after 15% selling costs
Price history and 23.5-month historical outlook · log price scale PAST NOW 23.5M $835.21 $33.63
THE HISTORICAL REFERENCE · 12 MONTHS AHEAD

What supports this estimate?

5 previous sets · Standard ETB · ages 23.1–35.1 months.

5 of 5 sets rose over this interval. These are the complete historical paths used by this forecast.

Recorded 12-month returns from the same lifecycle age
Historical set At 23.1 months At 35.1 months Gross return Share of average
Astral Radiance ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: May 27, 2022.

Start: Apr 29, 2024: $38.71. recorded week.

End: Apr 28, 2025: $77.05 · May 5, 2025: $78.07. between weekly observations.

$38.71Apr 29, 2024 $77.23Apr 29, 2025 +99.5% 20.0%
Brilliant Stars ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Feb 25, 2022.

Start: Jan 29, 2024: $37.45. recorded week.

End: Jan 27, 2025: $63.66 · Feb 3, 2025: $70.71. between weekly observations.

$37.45Jan 29, 2024 $64.87Jan 28, 2025 +73.2% 20.0%
Fusion Strike ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 12, 2021.

Start: Oct 16, 2023: $34.68. recorded week.

End: Oct 14, 2024: $57.23 · Oct 21, 2024: $59.04. between weekly observations.

$34.68Oct 16, 2023 $57.55Oct 15, 2024 +65.9% 20.0%
Lost Origin ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Sep 9, 2022.

Start: Aug 12, 2024: $43.64. recorded week.

End: Aug 11, 2025: $124.98 · Aug 18, 2025: $125.88. between weekly observations.

$43.64Aug 12, 2024 $125.14Aug 12, 2025 +186.8% 20.0%
Silver Tempest ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 11, 2022.

Start: Oct 14, 2024: $33.33. recorded week.

End: Oct 13, 2025: $94.81 · Oct 20, 2025: $96.90. between weekly observations.

$33.33Oct 14, 2024 $95.18Oct 14, 2025 +185.6% 20.0%
Average historical return+122.2%Equal influence per physical set
Projected price · simple average$252.53Today’s price × average return factor

$113.65 × 2.2220 = $252.53. After 15% selling costs: +88.9% net ROI.

We average each set’s percentage change over this interval, then apply that average to today’s price. Each physical set has equal influence; variants are averaged within their set first. Unusually large gains or losses can move this simple average substantially.

Source: TCGplayer weekly market-price history. Ages use catalog release dates, which may be set launch dates. Between-week prices are log-interpolated; open “Recorded weeks” to inspect the observations. Prices are rounded for display. Comparison periods may overlap and share market conditions. Historical returns do not guarantee this product’s outcome.

Historical comparisons for other supported horizons
THE HISTORICAL REFERENCE · 6 MONTHS AHEAD

What supports this estimate?

5 previous sets · Standard ETB · ages 23.1–29.1 months.

5 of 5 sets rose over this interval. These are the complete historical paths used by this forecast.

Recorded 6-month returns from the same lifecycle age
Historical set At 23.1 months At 29.1 months Gross return Share of average
Astral Radiance ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: May 27, 2022.

Start: Apr 29, 2024: $38.71. recorded week.

End: Oct 28, 2024: $41.43 · Nov 4, 2024: $42.73. between weekly observations.

$38.71Apr 29, 2024 $41.54Oct 28, 2024 +7.3% 20.0%
Brilliant Stars ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Feb 25, 2022.

Start: Jan 29, 2024: $37.45. recorded week.

End: Jul 29, 2024: $47.17 · Aug 5, 2024: $46.40. between weekly observations.

$37.45Jan 29, 2024 $47.10Jul 29, 2024 +25.8% 20.0%
Fusion Strike ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 12, 2021.

Start: Oct 16, 2023: $34.68. recorded week.

End: Apr 15, 2024: $43.43 · Apr 22, 2024: $44.29. between weekly observations.

$34.68Oct 16, 2023 $43.51Apr 15, 2024 +25.5% 20.0%
Lost Origin ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Sep 9, 2022.

Start: Aug 12, 2024: $43.64. recorded week.

End: Feb 10, 2025: $74.08 · Feb 17, 2025: $76.39. between weekly observations.

$43.64Aug 12, 2024 $74.28Feb 10, 2025 +70.2% 20.0%
Silver Tempest ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 11, 2022.

Start: Oct 14, 2024: $33.33. recorded week.

End: Apr 14, 2025: $69.74 · Apr 21, 2025: $70.89. between weekly observations.

$33.33Oct 14, 2024 $69.84Apr 14, 2025 +109.5% 20.0%
Average historical return+47.7%Equal influence per physical set
Projected price · simple average$167.82Today’s price × average return factor

$113.65 × 1.4766 = $167.82. After 15% selling costs: +25.5% net ROI.

We average each set’s percentage change over this interval, then apply that average to today’s price. Each physical set has equal influence; variants are averaged within their set first. Unusually large gains or losses can move this simple average substantially.

Source: TCGplayer weekly market-price history. Ages use catalog release dates, which may be set launch dates. Between-week prices are log-interpolated; open “Recorded weeks” to inspect the observations. Prices are rounded for display. Comparison periods may overlap and share market conditions. Historical returns do not guarantee this product’s outcome.

THE HISTORICAL REFERENCE · 23.5 MONTHS AHEAD

What supports this estimate?

5 previous sets · Standard ETB · ages 23.1–46.6 months.

5 of 5 sets rose over this interval. These are the complete historical paths used by this forecast.

Recorded 23.5-month returns from the same lifecycle age
Historical set At 23.1 months At 46.6 months Gross return Share of average
Astral Radiance ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: May 27, 2022.

Start: Apr 29, 2024: $38.71. recorded week.

End: Apr 13, 2026: $109.95 · Apr 20, 2026: $118.54. between weekly observations.

$38.71Apr 29, 2024 $111.47Apr 14, 2026 +188.0% 20.0%
Brilliant Stars ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Feb 25, 2022.

Start: Jan 29, 2024: $37.45. recorded week.

End: Jan 12, 2026: $109.61 · Jan 19, 2026: $114.72. between weekly observations.

$37.45Jan 29, 2024 $110.53Jan 13, 2026 +195.1% 20.0%
Fusion Strike ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 12, 2021.

Start: Oct 16, 2023: $34.68. recorded week.

End: Sep 29, 2025: $230.82 · Oct 6, 2025: $216.21. between weekly observations.

$34.68Oct 16, 2023 $228.07Sep 30, 2025 +557.7% 20.0%
Lost Origin ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Sep 9, 2022.

Start: Aug 12, 2024: $43.64. recorded week.

End: Jul 27, 2026: $220.46 · Aug 3, 2026: $217.00. between weekly observations.

$43.64Aug 12, 2024 $219.82Jul 28, 2026 +403.7% 20.0%
Silver Tempest ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 11, 2022.

Start: Oct 14, 2024: $33.33. recorded week.

End: Sep 28, 2026: $163.51 · Oct 5, 2026: $164.28. between weekly observations.

$33.33Oct 14, 2024 $163.65Sep 29, 2026 +391.0% 20.0%
Average historical return+347.1%Equal influence per physical set
Projected price · simple average$508.12Today’s price × average return factor

$113.65 × 4.4710 = $508.12. After 15% selling costs: +280.0% net ROI.

We average each set’s percentage change over this interval, then apply that average to today’s price. Each physical set has equal influence; variants are averaged within their set first. Unusually large gains or losses can move this simple average substantially.

Source: TCGplayer weekly market-price history. Ages use catalog release dates, which may be set launch dates. Between-week prices are log-interpolated; open “Recorded weeks” to inspect the observations. Prices are rounded for display. Comparison periods may overlap and share market conditions. Historical returns do not guarantee this product’s outcome.

Historical support ends 23.5 months ahead. No extrapolation.

24-month estimate unavailable: insufficient complete historical paths.

36-month estimate unavailable: insufficient complete historical paths.

Only Standard ETB histories contribute; collections match their specific format. At least five distinct physical sets must have recorded the entire forecast interval from the same lifecycle age. Up to 20 recent eligible sets contribute, with variants sharing a set’s influence. The longest supported cohort stays fixed across the chart. The center is the simple arithmetic average of recorded cumulative percentage returns. Each physical set has equal influence; variants are averaged within their set first. Every displayed return stays within the observed peer minimum and maximum at that horizon. No mature trend, borrowed age, or short-run annualization extends the curve. Historical support ends 23.5 months ahead; later targets are unavailable. Equal-set 10–90% historical ranges include the average and are not calibrated probability intervals.

Initial observed value$63.76
Lower 12M case$191.9
Model confidenceLow · 35/100
Print cycle · est.Ended ~18 mo. ago
Six-pack bundle

Booster Bundle forecast

REVIEW
Current value $63.7 Completed sales through October 12, 2026
Expected in 6 months $110.55 +$46.85 · +73.5% ROI
Gross target in 12 months $165.79 +121.2% net ROI after 15% selling costs
Price history and 14.5-month historical outlook · log price scale PAST NOW 14.5M $284.06 $20.98
THE HISTORICAL REFERENCE · 12 MONTHS AHEAD

What supports this estimate?

5 previous sets · 6-pack Booster Bundle · ages 23.1–35.1 months.

5 of 5 sets rose over this interval. These are the complete historical paths used by this forecast.

Recorded 12-month returns from the same lifecycle age
Historical set At 23.1 months At 35.1 months Gross return Share of average
Crown Zenith ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Jan 20, 2023.

Start: Dec 23, 2024: $41.04. recorded week.

End: Dec 22, 2025: $117.92 · Dec 29, 2025: $122.77. between weekly observations.

$41.04Dec 23, 2024 $118.77Dec 23, 2025 +189.4% 20.0%
Lost Origin ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Sep 9, 2022.

Start: Aug 5, 2024: $38.39 · Aug 19, 2024: $38.43. between weekly observations.

End: Aug 11, 2025: $97.84 · Aug 18, 2025: $98.64. between weekly observations.

$38.41Aug 12, 2024 $97.98Aug 12, 2025 +155.1% 20.0%
Obsidian Flames ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Aug 11, 2023.

Start: Jul 14, 2025: $51.31. recorded week.

End: Jul 6, 2026: $116.30 · Jul 20, 2026: $116.38. between weekly observations.

$51.31Jul 14, 2025 $116.35Jul 14, 2026 +126.8% 20.0%
Paldea Evolved ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Jun 9, 2023.

Start: May 12, 2025: $54.85. recorded week.

End: May 11, 2026: $115.27 · May 18, 2026: $115.11. between weekly observations.

$54.85May 12, 2025 $115.24May 12, 2026 +110.1% 20.0%
Silver Tempest ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 11, 2022.

Start: Oct 14, 2024: $23.35. recorded week.

End: Oct 13, 2025: $74.67 · Oct 20, 2025: $74.95. between weekly observations.

$23.35Oct 14, 2024 $74.72Oct 14, 2025 +220.0% 20.0%
Average historical return+160.3%Equal influence per physical set
Projected price · simple average$165.79Today’s price × average return factor

$63.70 × 2.6027 = $165.79. After 15% selling costs: +121.2% net ROI.

We average each set’s percentage change over this interval, then apply that average to today’s price. Each physical set has equal influence; variants are averaged within their set first. Unusually large gains or losses can move this simple average substantially.

Source: TCGplayer weekly market-price history. Ages use catalog release dates, which may be set launch dates. Between-week prices are log-interpolated; open “Recorded weeks” to inspect the observations. Prices are rounded for display. Comparison periods may overlap and share market conditions. Historical returns do not guarantee this product’s outcome.

Historical comparisons for other supported horizons
THE HISTORICAL REFERENCE · 6 MONTHS AHEAD

What supports this estimate?

5 previous sets · 6-pack Booster Bundle · ages 23.1–29.1 months.

5 of 5 sets rose over this interval. These are the complete historical paths used by this forecast.

Recorded 6-month returns from the same lifecycle age
Historical set At 23.1 months At 29.1 months Gross return Share of average
Crown Zenith ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Jan 20, 2023.

Start: Dec 23, 2024: $41.04. recorded week.

End: Jun 23, 2025: $85.54 · Jun 30, 2025: $88.02. between weekly observations.

$41.04Dec 23, 2024 $85.76Jun 23, 2025 +109.0% 20.0%
Lost Origin ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Sep 9, 2022.

Start: Aug 5, 2024: $38.39 · Aug 19, 2024: $38.43. between weekly observations.

End: Feb 10, 2025: $64.62 · Feb 17, 2025: $64.04. between weekly observations.

$38.41Aug 12, 2024 $64.57Feb 10, 2025 +68.1% 20.0%
Obsidian Flames ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Aug 11, 2023.

Start: Jul 14, 2025: $51.31. recorded week.

End: Jan 12, 2026: $62.44 · Jan 19, 2026: $62.70. between weekly observations.

$51.31Jul 14, 2025 $62.46Jan 12, 2026 +21.7% 20.0%
Paldea Evolved ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Jun 9, 2023.

Start: May 12, 2025: $54.85. recorded week.

End: Nov 10, 2025: $77.19 · Nov 17, 2025: $77.27. between weekly observations.

$54.85May 12, 2025 $77.20Nov 10, 2025 +40.7% 20.0%
Silver Tempest ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 11, 2022.

Start: Oct 14, 2024: $23.35. recorded week.

End: Apr 14, 2025: $53.15 · Apr 21, 2025: $54.72. between weekly observations.

$23.35Oct 14, 2024 $53.29Apr 14, 2025 +128.2% 20.0%
Average historical return+73.6%Equal influence per physical set
Projected price · simple average$110.55Today’s price × average return factor

$63.70 × 1.7355 = $110.55. After 15% selling costs: +47.5% net ROI.

We average each set’s percentage change over this interval, then apply that average to today’s price. Each physical set has equal influence; variants are averaged within their set first. Unusually large gains or losses can move this simple average substantially.

Source: TCGplayer weekly market-price history. Ages use catalog release dates, which may be set launch dates. Between-week prices are log-interpolated; open “Recorded weeks” to inspect the observations. Prices are rounded for display. Comparison periods may overlap and share market conditions. Historical returns do not guarantee this product’s outcome.

THE HISTORICAL REFERENCE · 14.5 MONTHS AHEAD

What supports this estimate?

5 previous sets · 6-pack Booster Bundle · ages 23.1–37.6 months.

5 of 5 sets rose over this interval. These are the complete historical paths used by this forecast.

Recorded 14.5-month returns from the same lifecycle age
Historical set At 23.1 months At 37.6 months Gross return Share of average
Crown Zenith ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Jan 20, 2023.

Start: Dec 23, 2024: $41.04. recorded week.

End: Mar 9, 2026: $166.75 · Mar 16, 2026: $173.55. between weekly observations.

$41.04Dec 23, 2024 $167.08Mar 9, 2026 +307.1% 20.0%
Lost Origin ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Sep 9, 2022.

Start: Aug 5, 2024: $38.39 · Aug 19, 2024: $38.43. between weekly observations.

End: Oct 27, 2025: $121.34 · Nov 17, 2025: $121.86. between weekly observations.

$38.41Aug 12, 2024 $121.35Oct 27, 2025 +215.9% 20.0%
Obsidian Flames ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Aug 11, 2023.

Start: Jul 14, 2025: $51.31. recorded week.

End: Sep 28, 2026: $121.73 · Oct 5, 2026: $121.69. between weekly observations.

$51.31Jul 14, 2025 $121.73Sep 28, 2026 +137.2% 20.0%
Paldea Evolved ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Jun 9, 2023.

Start: May 12, 2025: $54.85. recorded week.

End: Jul 27, 2026: $123.56 · Aug 3, 2026: $123.87. between weekly observations.

$54.85May 12, 2025 $123.58Jul 27, 2026 +125.3% 20.0%
Silver Tempest ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 11, 2022.

Start: Oct 14, 2024: $23.35. recorded week.

End: Dec 29, 2025: $74.35 · Jan 5, 2026: $74.14. between weekly observations.

$23.35Oct 14, 2024 $74.34Dec 29, 2025 +218.4% 20.0%
Average historical return+200.8%Equal influence per physical set
Projected price · simple average$191.60Today’s price × average return factor

$63.70 × 3.0079 = $191.60. After 15% selling costs: +155.7% net ROI.

We average each set’s percentage change over this interval, then apply that average to today’s price. Each physical set has equal influence; variants are averaged within their set first. Unusually large gains or losses can move this simple average substantially.

Source: TCGplayer weekly market-price history. Ages use catalog release dates, which may be set launch dates. Between-week prices are log-interpolated; open “Recorded weeks” to inspect the observations. Prices are rounded for display. Comparison periods may overlap and share market conditions. Historical returns do not guarantee this product’s outcome.

Historical support ends 14.5 months ahead. No extrapolation.

24-month estimate unavailable: insufficient complete historical paths.

36-month estimate unavailable: insufficient complete historical paths.

Only 6-pack Booster Bundle histories contribute; collections match their specific format. At least five distinct physical sets must have recorded the entire forecast interval from the same lifecycle age. Up to 20 recent eligible sets contribute, with variants sharing a set’s influence. The longest supported cohort stays fixed across the chart. The center is the simple arithmetic average of recorded cumulative percentage returns. Each physical set has equal influence; variants are averaged within their set first. Every displayed return stays within the observed peer minimum and maximum at that horizon. No mature trend, borrowed age, or short-run annualization extends the curve. Historical support ends 14.5 months ahead; later targets are unavailable. Equal-set 10–90% historical ranges include the average and are not calibrated probability intervals.

Initial observed value$38.17
Lower 12M case$138.08
Model confidenceLow · 35/100
Print cycle · est.Ended ~11 mo. ago
36-pack box

Booster Box forecast

REVIEW
Current value $293.7 Completed sales through October 12, 2026
Expected in 6 months $418.03 +$124.33 · +42.3% ROI
Gross target in 12 months $651.52 +88.6% net ROI after 15% selling costs
Price history and 23.5-month historical outlook · log price scale PAST NOW 23.5M $2,006.04 $96.7
THE HISTORICAL REFERENCE · 12 MONTHS AHEAD

What supports this estimate?

5 previous sets · 36-pack Booster Box · ages 23.1–35.1 months.

5 of 5 sets rose over this interval. These are the complete historical paths used by this forecast.

Recorded 12-month returns from the same lifecycle age
Historical set At 23.1 months At 35.1 months Gross return Share of average
Astral Radiance ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: May 27, 2022.

Start: Apr 29, 2024: $174.58. recorded week.

End: Apr 28, 2025: $267.56 · May 5, 2025: $324.60. between weekly observations.

$174.58Apr 29, 2024 $276.95Apr 29, 2025 +58.6% 20.0%
Brilliant Stars ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Feb 25, 2022.

Start: Jan 29, 2024: $158.31. recorded week.

End: Jan 27, 2025: $283.00 · Feb 3, 2025: $285.69. between weekly observations.

$158.31Jan 29, 2024 $283.48Jan 28, 2025 +79.1% 20.0%
Fusion Strike ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 12, 2021.

Start: Oct 16, 2023: $145.63. recorded week.

End: Oct 14, 2024: $221.24 · Oct 21, 2024: $225.88. between weekly observations.

$145.63Oct 16, 2023 $222.06Oct 15, 2024 +52.5% 20.0%
Lost Origin ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Sep 9, 2022.

Start: Aug 12, 2024: $215.95. recorded week.

End: Aug 11, 2025: $663.40 · Aug 18, 2025: $751.46. between weekly observations.

$215.95Aug 12, 2024 $678.33Aug 12, 2025 +214.1% 20.0%
Silver Tempest ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 11, 2022.

Start: Oct 14, 2024: $160.15. recorded week.

End: Oct 13, 2025: $489.88 · Oct 20, 2025: $480.68. between weekly observations.

$160.15Oct 14, 2024 $488.22Oct 14, 2025 +204.9% 20.0%
Average historical return+121.8%Equal influence per physical set
Projected price · simple average$651.52Today’s price × average return factor

$293.70 × 2.2183 = $651.52. After 15% selling costs: +88.6% net ROI.

We average each set’s percentage change over this interval, then apply that average to today’s price. Each physical set has equal influence; variants are averaged within their set first. Unusually large gains or losses can move this simple average substantially.

Source: TCGplayer weekly market-price history. Ages use catalog release dates, which may be set launch dates. Between-week prices are log-interpolated; open “Recorded weeks” to inspect the observations. Prices are rounded for display. Comparison periods may overlap and share market conditions. Historical returns do not guarantee this product’s outcome.

Historical comparisons for other supported horizons
THE HISTORICAL REFERENCE · 6 MONTHS AHEAD

What supports this estimate?

5 previous sets · 36-pack Booster Box · ages 23.1–29.1 months.

5 of 5 sets rose over this interval. These are the complete historical paths used by this forecast.

Recorded 6-month returns from the same lifecycle age
Historical set At 23.1 months At 29.1 months Gross return Share of average
Astral Radiance ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: May 27, 2022.

Start: Apr 29, 2024: $174.58. recorded week.

End: Oct 28, 2024: $177.88 · Nov 4, 2024: $178.42. between weekly observations.

$174.58Apr 29, 2024 $177.93Oct 28, 2024 +1.9% 20.0%
Brilliant Stars ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Feb 25, 2022.

Start: Jan 29, 2024: $158.31. recorded week.

End: Jul 29, 2024: $181.57 · Aug 5, 2024: $181.47. between weekly observations.

$158.31Jan 29, 2024 $181.56Jul 29, 2024 +14.7% 20.0%
Fusion Strike ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 12, 2021.

Start: Oct 16, 2023: $145.63. recorded week.

End: Apr 15, 2024: $244.32 · Apr 22, 2024: $244.08. between weekly observations.

$145.63Oct 16, 2023 $244.30Apr 15, 2024 +67.8% 20.0%
Lost Origin ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Sep 9, 2022.

Start: Aug 12, 2024: $215.95. recorded week.

End: Feb 10, 2025: $349.87 · Feb 17, 2025: $367.29. between weekly observations.

$215.95Aug 12, 2024 $351.39Feb 10, 2025 +62.7% 20.0%
Silver Tempest ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 11, 2022.

Start: Oct 14, 2024: $160.15. recorded week.

End: Apr 14, 2025: $263.22 · Apr 21, 2025: $267.18. between weekly observations.

$160.15Oct 14, 2024 $263.57Apr 14, 2025 +64.6% 20.0%
Average historical return+42.3%Equal influence per physical set
Projected price · simple average$418.03Today’s price × average return factor

$293.70 × 1.4233 = $418.03. After 15% selling costs: +21.0% net ROI.

We average each set’s percentage change over this interval, then apply that average to today’s price. Each physical set has equal influence; variants are averaged within their set first. Unusually large gains or losses can move this simple average substantially.

Source: TCGplayer weekly market-price history. Ages use catalog release dates, which may be set launch dates. Between-week prices are log-interpolated; open “Recorded weeks” to inspect the observations. Prices are rounded for display. Comparison periods may overlap and share market conditions. Historical returns do not guarantee this product’s outcome.

THE HISTORICAL REFERENCE · 23.5 MONTHS AHEAD

What supports this estimate?

5 previous sets · 36-pack Booster Box · ages 23.1–46.6 months.

5 of 5 sets rose over this interval. These are the complete historical paths used by this forecast.

Recorded 23.5-month returns from the same lifecycle age
Historical set At 23.1 months At 46.6 months Gross return Share of average
Astral Radiance ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: May 27, 2022.

Start: Apr 29, 2024: $174.58. recorded week.

End: Apr 13, 2026: $384.79 · Apr 20, 2026: $370.89. between weekly observations.

$174.58Apr 29, 2024 $382.21Apr 14, 2026 +118.9% 20.0%
Brilliant Stars ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Feb 25, 2022.

Start: Jan 29, 2024: $158.31. recorded week.

End: Jan 12, 2026: $569.84 · Jan 19, 2026: $568.18. between weekly observations.

$158.31Jan 29, 2024 $569.54Jan 13, 2026 +259.8% 20.0%
Fusion Strike ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 12, 2021.

Start: Oct 16, 2023: $145.63. recorded week.

End: Sep 29, 2025: $1,032.27 · Oct 6, 2025: $1,032.07. between weekly observations.

$145.63Oct 16, 2023 $1,032.23Sep 30, 2025 +608.8% 20.0%
Lost Origin ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Sep 9, 2022.

Start: Aug 12, 2024: $215.95. recorded week.

End: Jul 27, 2026: $733.07 · Aug 3, 2026: $728.67. between weekly observations.

$215.95Aug 12, 2024 $732.26Jul 28, 2026 +239.1% 20.0%
Silver Tempest ↗
Recorded weeks

Catalog release: Nov 11, 2022.

Start: Oct 14, 2024: $160.15. recorded week.

End: Sep 28, 2026: $523.20 · Oct 5, 2026: $523.19. between weekly observations.

$160.15Oct 14, 2024 $523.20Sep 29, 2026 +226.7% 20.0%
Average historical return+290.7%Equal influence per physical set
Projected price · simple average$1,147.35Today’s price × average return factor

$293.70 × 3.9066 = $1,147.35. After 15% selling costs: +232.1% net ROI.

We average each set’s percentage change over this interval, then apply that average to today’s price. Each physical set has equal influence; variants are averaged within their set first. Unusually large gains or losses can move this simple average substantially.

Source: TCGplayer weekly market-price history. Ages use catalog release dates, which may be set launch dates. Between-week prices are log-interpolated; open “Recorded weeks” to inspect the observations. Prices are rounded for display. Comparison periods may overlap and share market conditions. Historical returns do not guarantee this product’s outcome.

Historical support ends 23.5 months ahead. No extrapolation.

24-month estimate unavailable: insufficient complete historical paths.

36-month estimate unavailable: insufficient complete historical paths.

Only 36-pack Booster Box histories contribute; collections match their specific format. At least five distinct physical sets must have recorded the entire forecast interval from the same lifecycle age. Up to 20 recent eligible sets contribute, with variants sharing a set’s influence. The longest supported cohort stays fixed across the chart. The center is the simple arithmetic average of recorded cumulative percentage returns. Each physical set has equal influence; variants are averaged within their set first. Every displayed return stays within the observed peer minimum and maximum at that horizon. No mature trend, borrowed age, or short-run annualization extends the curve. Historical support ends 23.5 months ahead; later targets are unavailable. Equal-set 10–90% historical ranges include the average and are not calibrated probability intervals.

Initial observed value$204.3
Lower 12M case$455.08
Model confidenceLow · 35/100
Print cycle · est.Ended ~5 mo. ago
How to read this page

One set, separate sealed-product markets

Pokémon Center ETBs, standard ETBs, booster bundles, booster boxes, and collection products are never blended. Collections match their specific format. At least five distinct sets must have recorded the complete interval from the selected product's age. The longest supported cohort stays fixed across the chart. The simple arithmetic average of cumulative percentage returns gives each physical set equal influence, with variants averaged within their set first. Estimates stay within observed peer outcomes at every horizon. Unsupported targets are unavailable; no trend extrapolation is used. Historical ranges are not calibrated probability intervals.

Updated through October 12, 2026. These estimates are best-effort model outputs with no warranty and are not financial advice.

Set value FAQ

Questions about this set

What is the current Surging Sparks sealed product value?
Pokémon Center ETB: $260.08; Standard ETB: $113.65; Booster Bundle: $63.7; Booster Box: $293.7. Prices reflect the reference snapshot through October 12, 2026, not a live quote.

What could Surging Sparks be worth in 12 months?
Pokémon Center ETB: $553.31 gross target (+80.8% modeled net ROI after selling costs); Standard ETB: $252.53 gross target (+88.9% modeled net ROI after selling costs); Booster Bundle: $165.79 gross target (+121.2% modeled net ROI after selling costs); Booster Box: $651.52 gross target (+88.6% modeled net ROI after selling costs). These are model estimates, not guaranteed sale prices.

Which Surging Sparks products are tracked?
This page currently covers Pokémon Center ETB, Standard ETB, Booster Bundle, Booster Box. Only the exact physical products listed on the page are modeled.

Are different sealed-product formats combined?
No. ETBs, Booster Bundles, Booster Boxes, and Collection products each use an isolated historical sold-price series and comparison cohort.

Best-effort estimates based on TCGplayer weekly sales history. Forecasts are not guaranteed, are not financial advice, and can be wrong. ETBs, booster products, and collection products are modeled separately.